I've long voiced my concerns about the Nintendo Switch, underlining that major players in the West like Activision, Take-Two and EA seem to be hesitant to treat Nintendo's new machine as a current-generation competitor, and will instead focus primarily on consoles, PC, and mobiles. There's a lot of reasons why publishers may be dubious about the Switch, including its lower-end NVIDIA Tegra chip that's about 1/4th as powerful as a PS4, which requires trade-offs when switching to the device's 720p handheld screen, and the lack of a key social online infrastructure such as Xbox LIVE or PlayStation Network to allow monetization of games.
Japanese publishers, on the other hand, are supporting the platform: Capcom has announced Monster Hunter XX for the system, and SEGA will be bringing its mainline Sonic series to the system as well. But Western publishers seem unsure about the device and may only test the waters with "safe bets", ie ports of older last-generation PS3 and Xbox 360 games like NBA 2K18 and FIFA 18 (both of which are releasing on the Switch).
Now Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter lays out some stark predictions that fall in line with my personal findings: third party publishers in the West won't announce any new games on the platform. Mega console hits like Far Cry, Assassin's Creed, Diablo, and Call of Duty will all skip the system entirely.
"I think you'll be shocked when we get through E3 when there aren't any Western third-party games announced on the Switch. I think you're going to discern a pattern here; I think that Switch titles from the West are going to be limited to only those games that already are being made for the Xbox 360 and PS3," Mr. Pachter said in a recent episode of his Pachter Factor show."Games like NBA 2K, sure, it makes sense because they're making it for last-gen. Games like Skylanders, sure, they're making it for old-gen. FIFA, they're making it for old-gen."